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1.
应用互补集成经验模态分解(CEEMD)方法对香港1997―2018年的住宅价格月度数据进行了分解,将经过重构后的数据分成高频序列、低频序列与残差项。将BP多断点检测应用于低频序列,并结合样本时段内的重大事件进行实证分析。结果表明:1997年亚洲金融风暴对房价的影响大于2008年金融危机;外部经济体的救市政策间接地影响香港房价;在经济不景气的大环境下“孙九招”政策没有立即见效;资本投资者入境计划、住房供给调整与按揭贷款调整对房价的影响较为显著;税收调整对房价影响不显著、对交易量影响显著;SARS爆发使住宅价格下降约1%。 相似文献
2.
3.
We consider Markov processes built from pasting together pieces of strong Markov processes which are killed at a position
dependent rate and connected via a transition kernel. We give necessary and sufficient conditions for local absolute continuity
of probability laws for such processes on a suitable path space and derive an explicit formula for the corresponding likelihood
ratio process. The main tool is the consideration of the process between successive jumps – what we call ‘elementary experiments’
– and criteria for absolute continuity of laws of the process there. We apply our results to systems of branching diffusions
with interactions and immigrations.
This revised version was published online in June 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
4.
E. Mathieu Y. Foucher P. Dellamonica J. P. Daures 《Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability》2007,9(3):389-397
In AIDS control, physicians have a growing need to use pragmatically useful and interpretable tools in their daily medical
taking care of patients. Semi-Markov process seems to be well adapted to model the evolution of HIV-1 infected patients. In
this study, we introduce and define a non homogeneous semi-Markov (NHSM) model in continuous time. Then the problem of finding
the equations that describe the biological evolution of patient is studied and the interval transition probabilities are computed.
A parametric approach is used and the maximum likelihood estimators of the process are given. A Monte Carlo algorithm is presented
for realizing non homogeneous semi-Markov trajectories. As results, interval transition probabilities are computed for distinct
times and follow-up has an impact on the evolution of patients.
相似文献
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6.
R. Alonderis 《Lithuanian Mathematical Journal》2005,45(1):1-15
We consider classical, multisuccedent intuitionistic, and intuitionistic sequent calculi for propositional likelihood logic. We prove the admissibility of structural rules and cut rule, invertibility of rules, correctness of the calculi, and completeness of the classical calculus with respect to given semantics.__________Published in Lietuvos Matematikos Rinkinys, Vol. 45, No. 1, pp. 3–21, January–March, 2005. 相似文献
7.
8.
This paper proposes a method for estimation of a class of partially linear single-index models with randomly censored samples. The method provides a flexible way for modelling the association between a response and a set of predictor variables when the response variable is randomly censored. It presents a technique for “dimension reduction” in semiparametric censored regression models and generalizes the existing accelerated failure-time models for survival analysis. The estimation procedure involves three stages: first, transform the censored data into synthetic data or pseudo-responses unbiasedly; second, obtain quasi-likelihood estimates of the regression coefficients in both linear and single-index components by an iteratively algorithm; finally, estimate the unknown nonparametric regression function using techniques for univariate censored nonparametric regression. The estimators for the regression coefficients are shown to be jointly root-n consistent and asymptotically normal. In addition, the estimator for the unknown regression function is a local linear kernel regression estimator and can be estimated with the same efficiency as all the parameters are known. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to illustrate the proposed methodology. 相似文献
9.
对数似然比与整值随机变量序列的一类强律 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
本文引进对数似然比作为整值随机变量序列相对于服从几何分布的独立随机变量序列的偏差的一种度量,并通过限制对数似然比给出了样本空间的一个子集.在此子集上得到了一类用不等式表示的强律,其中包含整值随机变量序列与相对熵密度及几何分布的熵函数有关的若干极限性质. 相似文献
10.
BAHADURASYMPTOTICEFFICIENCYINASEMIPARAMETRICREGRESSIONMODEL¥LIANGHUA;CHENGPINGAbstract:TheauthorSgiveMLEθ1MLofθ1inthemodelY=θ... 相似文献